Vélez Sarsfield will welcome Gimnasia La Plata to for a matchday 13 fixture in Argentina Primera División. The last meeting on 14th September 2021 ended in a 0-0 draw. Both sides have met eleven times in the most recent seasons. Vélez Sarsfield has won 4 matches, and Gimnasia La Plata triumphed in 4. Recent outings average 2.00 goals, while both teams score 18% of the time.
Vélez Sarsfield’s latest fixture against Unión Santa Fe ended in an away 2-1 loss. I expected more from Vélez Sarsfield. The lack of focus in the final third cost them three points. Vélez Sarsfield set the tone early and scored in the 8 minute.
Gimnasia La Plata’s recent game against Godoy Cruz ended in a home 2-0 win. Although El Lobo didn’t match their opponent’s intensity and quality while on possession, it was still enough. Gimnasia La Plata pushed forward in the second half and scored in the 61st and 90+5 minute.
Since the start of the season, Vélez Sarsfield is more dominant at home. They have four wins out of 12 games on home soil. Although Vélez Sarsfield is among the most solid home teams in the league, they are far from perfect. Their defence is not as good as expected with just 33% home clean sheets.
Gimnasia La Plata has picked up 10 points from the previous six league games. They still have a lot to prove when playing away from home. Mensanas wins 1.38 points per away game, a bit less than their home record shows.
It is not a surprise that the hosts stand out as a favourite to win this one. Vélez Sarsfield is currently unbeaten at home in two games. Since the start of the season, they have just three home defeats.
El Lobo got the three points in their previous away games but are still off their best. Their away record does not convince me that they have what it takes to avoid defeat on Sunday.
I am confident that the hosts will prove their worth and triumph with another home victory. Vélez Sarsfield wins on average 1.42 points per home game, compared to 1.38 points per away game for Gimnasia La Plata. My prediction is Vélez Sarsfield to win.
Still, I expect a close game and don’t think that we will see a lot of goals. Both sides score and concede on average 2.23 goals per game. Over 2.5 goals were scored in an average of 37% of Vélez Sarsfield’s home and Gimnasia La Plata’s away games. My prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.